MainStreet Macro

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October 3, 2022

MainStreet Macro: The private-data revolution

Yes, a normal day is still about 24 hours. But scientists say that Earth has been spinning faster, shaving milliseconds off a typical day. There’s evidence, in fact, that this year the planet is moving faster than it did in 2021 or 2020. If that’s not enough speed for you, there’s another acceleration under way, one that’s affecting the frequency of data
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April 26, 2021

MainStreet Macro: Three lessons from history

This is a busy week for the economy. Not only are key members of the Federal Reserve meeting to discuss the hot topic of inflation, we’ll also get a report card on economic growth in the first quarter. What happens next for the economy is uncharted. We’ve never seen such a collision of low interest rates, massive fiscal stimulus, easy money and wealth disparity. We don’t know if the vigorous pace of growth will continue in the second half of the year, or even whether all sectors can recover if it does.
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April 19, 2021

MainStreet Macro: Why can’t we just print more money?

This week, I have a timely and thoughtful question from a 10-year old viewer, Caleb: “Ms. Nela, could you share with us why we can’t just print more money to fix the economy?” Well, Caleb, that’s a very good question, one that’s of particular importance to Main Street right now. When it comes to printing money and fixing the economy, there are three things to know.
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April 12, 2021

MainStreet Macro: Is the glass half full or half empty?

We’ve seen a lot of good news on the economic front, from local jobs to global growth. Yet many Main Streeters are still living with the pandemic’s destruction to their businesses, jobs and health. This begs the question: Is the economic recovery a glass half full or half empty?
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April 5, 2021

MainStreet Macro: Location, location, location (and jobs)

Ask any real estate pro and they'll tell you there are three essentials to selling a property – location, location, location. Well, that may be changing. Location trends long in the making accelerated over the past year due to the pandemic and the newfound mobility of the workforce will have an impact on the housing market. Last month, the economy recovered 916,000 jobs, winnowing away our deficit of 8.4 million jobs, with the bulk of them in services. As we look forward to more hiring in coming months, let’s dig into how the geography of work--and life--is changing.
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March 29, 2021

MainStreet Macro: What’s next for small businesses?

Last week, the ADP Research Institute looked at how the first two months of the COVID-19 pandemic affected U.S. employment one year later. During the 2020 lockdown in March and April, the U.S. lost 20 million jobs, or about 15% of total employment. This week we review what's next for small businesses.
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March 23, 2021

COVID-19 Toll On US Employment: One Year Look Back

As of March 2021, it has been one full year following the mandatory lockdowns in US economy to stop the spread of COVID-19. Here's a look at the impact on US Employment over the last year.
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March 22, 2021

MainStreet Macro: Running Hot and Cold

In the month of March, it’s hard to know which coat to wear. Will the weather be on the warm side or the cool side? That question also can be asked of the economy right now. As Main Street transitions from a pandemic-oppressed winter to a vaccine-liberated spring, is the economy running hot or cold?
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March 15, 2021

MainStreet Macro: The March Reset

This month, Main Street marks the one-year anniversary of the World Health Organization declaring the COVID-19 outbreak a pandemic, in a year that took our lives and the economy on a wild roller-coaster ride. In two short months, we went from the longest economic expansion in U.S. history to the most devastating downturn since the Great Depression. What a difference a year makes. March has brought us an economy on the verge of a reset as the vaccine rollout picks up steam and a $1.9 trillion relief package begins its work. Yet as the U.S. continues its climb to pre-pandemic GDP, the economy isn’t resetting to its pre-pandemic form. Things are different. As I said last week, the story of the economy’s evolution is still being written. Here are four structural changes likely to outlive the pandemic.
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